Humint Events Online: Going Over the Various Flight 93 Scenarios

Thursday, May 19, 2005

Going Over the Various Flight 93 Scenarios

The more I think about this, the more I realize there are many, many possibilities for what could have happened with flight 93.

Here I will go through possible scenarios and I will try to judge which scenario best fits the evidence, or which scenario has the least “problems”. One thing to keep in mind is that, officially, flight 93 was apparently late taking off, so an important question is how much did this affect the 9/11 planners plans (if we discard the official story)?

The logic here is that “a problem” equals “+1” and “explaining a problem” equals “-1”. Big problems will be awarded 2 points, smaller problems will be awarded 0.5 points. The overall points for each scenario will be tallied up in this way.

These scenarios assume that the following are not “problems”:
1) flight 93 was shot down or damaged before crashing by another plane (the mysterious white plane or an air force jet) and this was covered up,
2) having a special drone plane (engineered and piloted by the military/NORAD/Air Force) come into the scenario,
3) creating a fake crash site for flight 93 with a bomb and a few airplane parts, human remains are planted later.
The logic is that there is clearly a cover-up over 9/11 and flight 93, and therefore these three particular aspects of the flight 93 story are basically feasible, can be covered-up easily by the government, and therefore do not pose "problems".

Flight 93 Scenarios

1-- The Official Story: the flight is hijacked by three or four terrorists, the plane is crashes on the ground in Shanksville PA in part due to a passenger revolt. Problems with this story-- the incredible lack of overall coherence in the 9/11 passenger calls (problem 1), the unlikelihood of the hijacking taking place with the pilot being taken by surprise (problem 2), the many oddities of the flight 93 crash site (problem 3), witnesses seeing planes coming from two different directions (problem 4) and the widespread nature of the plane debris (problem 5). This official scenario has +5 problems.

2-- The Conventional Shoot-Down Theory: very similar to the official story but the plane is brought down by an air force missile (or some unknown high-tech mechanism). This scenario can explain problem 5 but cannot explain problems 1, 2, 3 and 4. This scenario has +3 problems.

3A-- The Drone Theory A1: the plane that crashed in a crater in Shanksville was not the "real" flight 93, but a remote-control drone with an exploding tail and penetrating wings. The passengers were on a different plane, the real flight 93, that was going through a real hijacking. The real flight 93 flew near Shanskville and blew up nearby, perhaps over Indian Lake. This can explain problems 3 and 4 and 5, but doesn't explain problems 1 and 2. It also creates a new problem of dealing with the wreckage of a second plane and keeping it covered up (problem 6 = 2 points since there are many witnesses and houses around the lake). This scenario has +1 problems.

3B-- The Drone Theory A2: the plane that crashed in a crater in Shanksville was not the "real" flight 93, but a remote-control drone with an exploding tail and penetrating wings. The passengers were on a different plane, the real flight 93, that was going through a mock hijacking. The real flight 93 flew near Shanskville and blew up nearby, perhaps over Indian Lake. This can explain problems 2, 3, 4 and 5, but doesn't explain problem 1. It also creates the new problems of dealing with the wreckage of a second plane and keeping it covered up (problem 6) as well as how the hijacking was faked (problem 7). This has -0 problems.


4-- The Drone Theory B: the plane that crashed in a crater in Shanksville was not the "real" flight 93, but a remote-control drone with an exploding tail and penetrating wings. There was never a real flight 93 and the hijacking and passenger's calls were all faked. This can explain problems 1, 2, 3 4 and 5, but brings in the new problem of faking the calls (problem 8), making the passengers disappear through new identities (problem 9 = 2 points because of level of cover-up), and how flight 93 was faked (problem 10 = 2 points because of level of cover-up). This has -0 problems.

5A-- The Drone Theory C1: the plane that crashed in a crater in Shanksville was not the "real" flight 93, but a remote-control drone with an exploding tail and penetrating wings. The real flight 93 went through a real hijacking but landed safely somewhere and the passengers took on new IDs. This can explain problems 3 and 4, but can't explain problems 1, 2 and 5 and brings in the big problem of dealing with live passengers and the cover-up involved (problem 9). This has +3 problems.

5B-- The Drone Theory C2: the plane that crashed in a crater in Shanksville was not the "real" flight 93, but a remote-control drone with an exploding tail and penetrating wings. The real flight 93 went through a mock hijacking but landed safely somewhere and the passengers took on new IDs. This can explain problems 2, 3 and 4, but can't explain problems 1 and 5. This scenario also brings in the problem of a fake hijacking (problem 7) and brings in the big problem of dealing with live passengers and the cover-up involved (problem 9). This has +2 problems.

6A-- The Two Flight 93 Theory A1: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was hijacked for real, one went into the hole in Shanksville, the other plane landed safely somewhere and the passengers took on new IDs. Two planes could explain why the calls are so discordant. This can explain problems 1 and 4, but can't explain problems 2, 3 and 5. Moreover, it creates new problems of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11) and dealing with live passengers and the cover-up involved (problem 9). This has +4 problems.

6B-- The Two Flight 93 Theory A2: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was mock hijacked, one went into the hole in Shanksville, the other plane landed safely somewhere and the passengers took on new IDs. This can explain problems 1, 2 and 4, but can't explain problems 3 and 5. Moreover, it creates new problems of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11), the problem of the mock hijacking (problem 7) and dealing with live passengers and the cover-up involved (problem 8). This has +3 problems.

7A-- The Two Flight 93 Theory B1: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was hijacked for real-- one went into the hole in Shanksville, the other plane was blown up somewhere else, perhaps over Indian Lake. This can explain problems 1, 4 and 5, but can't explain problems 2 and 3. Moreover, it creates a new problem of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11). It also brings back problem 6. This has +2 problems.

7B-- The Two Flight 93 Theory B2: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was mock hijacked, one went into the hole in Shanksville, the other plane was blown up somewhere else, perhaps over Indian Lake. This can explain problems 1, 2, 4 and 5, but can't explain problem 3. Moreover, it creates a new problem of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11). It also brings back problem 6 and problem 7. This has +1 problems.

8A-- The Two Flight 93 Theory C1: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was hijacked for real, the Shanksville crash site was faked. Both flight 93 planes landed safely somewhere and the passengers took on new IDs. This can explain problems 1, 3 and 4, but can't explain problems 2 and 5. Moreover, it creates the problem of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11). It also brings in problem 9. This has +2 problems.

8B-- The Two Flight 93 Theory C2: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was mock hijacked, the Shanksville crash site was faked. Both flight 93 planes landed safely somewhere and the passengers took on new IDs. This can explain problems 1, 2, 3 and 4 but not problem 5. This scenario creates the problem of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11) and brings in problems 7 and 9. This has +1 problems.

9A-- The Two Flight 93 Theory D1: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was hijacked for real, the Shanksville crash site was faked. One flight 93 plane was blown up somewhere else, perhaps over Indian Lake, the other flight 93 plane landed safely somewhere and the passengers took on new IDs. This can explain problems 1, 3. 4 and 5, but can't explain problem 2. Moreover, it creates the problem of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11). It also brings back problems 6 and 9. This has +2 problems.

9B-- The Two Flight 93 Theory D2: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was mock hijacked, the Shanksville crash site was faked. One flight 93 plane was blown up somewhere else, perhaps over Indian Lake, the other flight 93 plane landed safely somewhere and the passengers took on new IDs. This can explain problems 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. It creates the problem of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11). It also brings back problems 6, 7 and 9. This has +1 problems.

10A – The Drone and the Shootdown Theory: the plane that crashed in a crater in Shanksville was not the "real" flight 93, but a remote-control drone with an exploding tail and penetrating wings. The passengers were on a different plane, the real flight 93, that was going through a real hijacking. The real flight 93 flew over Indian Lake and was damaged by a bomb or a missile, spewing debris. This flight later landed and the passengers were made to disappear in some manner. This can explain problems 3, 4 and 5, but doesn't explain problems 1 and 2. It brings back problem 9. This scenario has +0 problems.

10B – The Drone and the Shootdown Theory: the plane that crashed in a crater in Shanksville was not the "real" flight 93, but a remote-control drone with an exploding tail and penetrating wings. The passengers were on a different plane, the real flight 93, that had a fake hijacking. The real flight 93 flew over Indian Lake and was damaged by a bomb or a missile, spewing debris. This flight later landed and the passengers were made to disappear in some manner. This can explain problems 2, 3, 4 and 5, but doesn't explain problem 1. It brings back problem 9. This scenario has -1 problems.

11A-- The Two Flight 93 and the Shootdown Theory D1: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was hijacked for real, the Shanksville crash site was faked. One flight 93 flew over Indian Lake and was damaged by a bomb or a missile, spewing debris. This flight later landed and the passengers were made to disappear in some manner. The other flight 93 plane landed somewhere and these passengers were made to disappear as well. This can explain problems 1, 3, 4 and 5, but can't explain problem 2. Moreover, it creates the problem of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11). It also brings back problem 9. This has +0 problems.

11B-- The Two Flight 93 Theory D2: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was mock hijacked, the Shanksville crash site was faked. One flight 93 flew over Indian Lake and was damaged by a bomb or a missile, spewing debris. This flight later landed and the passengers were made to disappear in some manner. The other flight 93 plane also landed somewhere and these passengers were made to disappear as well. This can explain problems 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. It creates the problem of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11). It also brings back problems 6 and 7. This has -1 problems.


Summary of the problems:
1) Part of the Official Story—conflicting passenger calls
2) Part of the Official Story—unlikelihood of hijacking
3) Part of the Official Story—unreal crash site
4) Part of the Official Story—planes coming from different directions
5) Part of the Official Story—widespread debris

6) Hypothetical problem-- Second plane crash at Indian Lake and cover-up (big problem, 2 points)
7) Hypothetical problem—Flight 93 hijacking was faked
8) Hypothetical problem—Flight 93 calls were faked
9) Hypothetical problem-- Flight 93 passengers were made to disappear (big problem, 2 points)
10) Hypothetical problem-- Flight 93 was faked (big problem, 2 points)
11) Hypothetical problem-- Creating an extra flight 93

This is the theory I am most partial to, as I think it can explain the most:
11B-- The Two Flight 93 Theory D2: There were two flight 93's each with some passengers, each was mock hijacked, the Shanksville crash site was faked. One flight 93 flew over Indian Lake and was damaged by a bomb or a missile, spewing debris onto the lake. This flight later landed and the passengers were made to disappear in some manner. The other flight 93 plane also landed somewhere and these passengers were made to disappear as well.
This can explain problems 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. It creates the problem of where an extra flight 93 came from (problem 11). It also brings back problems 6 and 7. This has -1 problems.

I really like the idea of having two flight 93 planes, each with passengers for explaining the variation between the phone calls. In this scenario, both of the planes were participating in the live-fly hijacking drill run on 9/11. Perhaps not every person on each plane was in on the drill. People in first class, such as Linda Gronlund, may have known more about the hijacking drill than the passengers in coach. Alternatively, one flight (the real flight 93) was really violently hijacked and the second flight 93 was mock hijacked and part of the drill. What happened to the passengers is obviously not clear. Some may have been killed and others allowed to live under a new identity.

It's interesting to think how Ed Felt fits into all of this. Was he on the real hijacked flight 93? Was he somehow able to see the other mock hijacked plane that got shot at or bombed?

It's still very confusing, but I think I am getting closer to some sort of answer.

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